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Calder, Sept. 17, 2011

Race 12 -  1 Mile 70 Yards  - Claiming 6,250 for 3 Year Olds and Upward

To handicap each race the first thing we need to do is find the Class Rating for the race we are handicapping. This race is a Claiming 6,250 race at Calder Race Course.

Look to your Master Class Rating Chart and find where Claiming 6,250 would fit. You will see 6,900 - 5,600 = 17. The track we are handicapping is Calder or CRC. Next go to your Class Rating Adjustment Chart and look for the track CRC. Beside CRC you will see 2.

So the Class Rating for this 12th race is 17 +2=19.

Now we will handicap each horse in the race just like we did in the previous race. Remember we are looking to find the horse's correct Class Rating by using the Excuses listed under "How to Find the Class of a Horse". If we find just one Excuse then we will go back to the next race back and check that race for an excuse. We will continue going back until we do not find any excuses in the races. We stop and rate each race for class that we looked at.

This race we will handicap the same as above but we will apply the 4 Eliminating Factors to the horses first (See Eliminating Factors under "How to Find Your Play"). This will speed up your handicapping of the race. If a horse has any one of the Eliminating Factors the horse is automatically eliminated.

1. Wireless Macho - Last Race was on 12 Aug at Calder (CRC) for a Clm 6250 and finished 8th 26 lengths behind the winner. He is eliminated because he finished 25 lengths or more from the winner using Elimination Rule #4. 

2. Rockcastle - Last race was on 23 July at Calder (CRC) for a Clm 6250 and finished 5th by 13 lengths. Rockcastle is eliminated because he raced 56 days ago.  Today's race is Sept 17. Elimination Rule #3 states he must have raced within 45 days.

3. Tarzanito - Last race was on 4 Aug at Calder (CRC) for a Clm 16000 race and finished 6th by 35 lengths. Tarzanito is eliminated because he finished 25 lengths or more from the winner  (Elimination Rule #4) and he also finished last in the race. He finished 6th out of 6 horses and is eliminated using Elimination Rule #1.

4. Waikiki - Last race was on 4 Sep at Calder (CRC) for a Clm 16000 race and finished 2 by 5 3/4 lengths. That was ok by Waikiki has not won a race in one of the last 10 races in his Past Performances. He is eliminated using Elimination #2.

5. County Trick - Last race was on 12 Aug at Calder (CRC) for a Clm 6250 race and finished 3rd by 4 lengths. The race was on a Sloppy track (sly). So the race is excused for Off Track (#2). The Class Rating would be 17 + 2 + 1 = 20 class rating. Clm 6250 fits under 6,900- 5,600 = 17 in the Master Class Rating Chart and then CRC is a 2 class track taken from the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. The horse is 4 lengths behind. Look at your Class Conversion Chart. Using the chart 4 lengths fits under "1/4 to 5 Lengths" and you penalize the horse 1 conversion number. The class rating for the 12 Aug race would be 17 + 2 + 1 = 20.

23 July race at Calder (CRC) is a Clm 6250 race and he finished 8th by 24 lengths. This race is excused for Off Rest (#5). Next race back is 26 June. That is 27 days between these 2 races. Since County Trick was 24 lengths behind in this race we do not rate the race for Class. Any race 14 lengths or more is not rated for Class as explained in the Class Conversion Chart.

26 June race at Calder (CRC) is Clm 12500 and he finished 8th by 32 1/4 lengths. This race is excused for Dropping Class (#4). Today's race is Clm 6250. County Trick has never ran a good race for Clm 12500 in his past performances so he is dropping in class. Since County Trick was 32 1/4 lengths behind in this race we do not rate the race for Class. Any race 14 lengths or more is not rated for Class as explained in the Class Conversion Chart.

16 June race at Calder (CRC) is Clm 6250 and he finished 3rd by 5 3/4 lengths. This race is not excused. It is the same class as today's race. So we will stop on this race. The Class Rating would be 17 + 2 + 2 = 21 class rating. Clm 6250 fits under 6,900- 5,600 = 17  in the Master Class Rating Chart and then CRC is a 2 class track taken from the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. The horse is 5 3/4 lengths behind. Look at your Class Conversion Chart found under "How to Determine the Class of Each Horse". Using the chart 5 3/4 lengths fits under "5 1/4 to 9 Lengths" and you penalize the horse 2 conversion numbers. The class rating for the 16 June race would be 17 +2 + 2=21.

Here are the races that we looked at

12 Aug is 20

23 July is not rated

26 June is not rated

16 June is 21

County Trick's Class Rating is 20 which is the lowest number of his races. Today's class rating is 20. Final One Step Rating for County Trick is 19 - 20 or minus 1 (-1) 1 level worse than par.

6. Ritmo Criollo - Last race was on 8 Sep at Calder (CRC) for a Clm 16000 race and finished 8th by 10 3/4 lengths. Ritmo Criollo has not won a race in one of the last 10 races in his Past Performances. He is eliminated using Elimination #2.

If he was not eliminated we would have looked at his last 2 races. He is dropping in class from the last race Clm 16000 to today's race Clm 6250 so he would be excused using Dropping Class (#4). 26 Aug race at Calder (CRC) for a Clm 10000 race he finished 8th by 10 3/4 lengths. He would not be excused in this race even though he is dropping in class because his 5the race back from this race on 8 Aug he ran a Clm 16000 race to a good race  finishing 2nd by 1/2 length.  The Class Rating of the 26 Aug race would be 14 + 2 + 3= 19 class rating. Clm 10000 fits under 11,500- 9,000 = 14  in the Master Class Rating Chart and then CRC is a 2 class track taken from the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. The horse is 10 3/4 lengths behind. Look at your Class Conversion Chart found under "How to Determine the Class of Each Horse". Using the chart 10 3/4 lengths fits under "9 1/4 to 14 Lengths" and you penalize the horse 3 conversion numbers. The class rating for the 26 Aug race would be 14 +2 + 3=19.

But again Ritmo Criollo is a Non Winner in his last 10 races so he is eliminated from the race.

8. Sarava Star - Last race was on 4 Sep at Calder (CRC) for a Clm 16000 race and finished 8th 45 lengths behind the winner. He is eliminated because he finished 25 lengths or more from the winner using Elimination Rule #4. 

Every horse in this race has been eliminated except #5 County Trick. So we would play County Trick to win. He won and paid $14.20.