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Delaware, Sept. 17, 2011
Race 8 - 6 Furlongs - Claiming 10,000 for 3 Year Olds and Upward
To handicap each race the first thing we need to do is find the Class Rating for the race we are handicapping. This race is a Claiming 10,000 race at Delaware Park.
Look to your Master Class Rating Chart and find where Claiming 10,000 would fit. You will see 11,500 - 9000 = 14. The track we are handicapping is Delaware or DEL. Next, go to your Class Rating Adjustment Chart and look for the track DEL. Beside DEL you will see 2.
So the Class Rating for this 8th race is 14 + 2=16.
Now we will handicap each horse in the race. Remember we are looking to find the horse's correct Class Rating by using the Excuses listed under "How to Find the Class of a Horse". If we find just one Excuse then we will go back to the next race back and check that race for an excuse. We will continue going back until we do not find any excuses in the race. We stop and rate each race for class that we looked at.
So let's get started.
1 Dryfly - Last race out was on 16 Aug at Delaware Park (DEL) for a Claiming 5000. He won the race. (This falls under Excuse #1- Win). And he is also coming off of a rest from 27 May to 16 Aug. which is also Excuse (#5 - Off Rest). We only need one excuse to be able to go back to the next race in the past performances.
The class rating for Clm 5000 at DEL fits under 5500-4500 on the Master Class Rating Chart. It is 18 and MTH is a 2 class track under the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. So the class rating is 18 +2 = 20. Dryfly won this Clm 5000 race so we do not penalize the horse.
27 May race Dryfly ran a Alw 10000s race. This is a Starter Allowance race for 10000 Claimers. We rate a Starter Allowance race not like an Allowance race but as a Claiming race. The Claiming price would be the one listed in the race 10000. This race is the same claiming price as the race today - 10000. But the race was run at CD - Churchill Downs. Churchill Downs is the same Class as Delaware Park. Look at your Class Rating Adjustment Chart. You will see that both CD and DEL are listed as 2. So Alw 10000s race at CD is the same class as today's race. If this race had been at say Belmont then the race would be excused for Excuse #4 Dropping Class because Belmont is a 0 Class track and therefore a Alw 10000s race at Belmont would be a 14 class not a 16 class. You will find there is no excuse in the 27 May race. The 27 May race Dryfly ran 34 1/4 lengths behind. We do not rate a race where a horse is 14 lengths or more behind. So we stop and give Dryfly a Class Rating on just the last race.
Here are the races that we looked at
8 Aug is 20
Dryfly's class rating is 20. Final One Step Rating for Dryfly is 16 - 20 or minus 4 (-4) 4 levels cheaper than par.
2. Well Respected Man - Last race ran on 31 Aug at Delaware (DEL) for a Clm 15000 race. He won the race. So he is excused (#1). The race is also excused for Excuse #5 Off Rest from 31 July to 31 Aug. Also today's race is a Clm 10000 race. So he normally would also be excused for Dropping Class (#4) Excuse.
31 Aug is Clm 15000 race at DEL and he won the race. Using the Master Class Rating Chart Clm 15000 would fit under 17,500 - 15000 which is a 12. DEL is a 2 Class Track found in the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. So the class rating is 12 + 2 = 14.
31 July race is a Clm 15000 race at Arlington Park (AP) which is also a 2 Class track. Even though this race he is dropping class to today's race the race is NOT excused because he just won for Clm 15000 the 31 Aug race. Dropping Class Excuse (#4) is only used if the horse has not run the same class or better race well.
There are no other excuses in this 31 July race. So we stop going back and rate the last 2 races for Class.
31 July race is also a Clm 15000 race at AP. But this time the horse ran 2 lengths behind at the finish. Using the Master Class Rating Chart 15000 would fit under 17,500 - 15000 which is a 12. DEL is a 2 Class Track found in the Class Rating Chart. So the class rating is 12 + 2 = 14. But he is 2 lengths behind. Look at your Class Conversion Chart found under "How to Determine the Class of Each Horse". Using the chart 2 lengths fit under "1/4 to 5 Lengths" and you penalize the horse 1 conversion number. The class rating for the 31 July race would be 12 + 2 + 1=15. Take the lowest number of the races we looked at.
We look at 2 races to find Respected Man's Class Rating.
31 Aug race is 14
31 July race is 15
Well Respected Man's final class rating is 14. Today's class rating is 16. Final One Step Rating for Well Respected Man is 16 - 14 or plus 2 (+2) 2 levels better than par.
3. Roman Bay - Last race was on 8 Aug at Delaware (DEL). He ran and won a Clm 5000 race at DEL. This is a 18 + 2 = 20 class rating. Clm 5000 fits under 5,500-4,500 = 18 in the Master Class Rating Chart and then DEL is a 2 class track. This race is excused for a Win (#1) and also excused for Off a Rest (#5) 6 July to 8 Aug.
6 July race is a Clm 7500 race at Delaware (DEL) and he also won this race so this 6 July race is also excused. This is a 16 +2 = 18 class race. Clm 7500 fits under 7,900 - 7,000 in the Master Class Rating Chart which is a 16 and DEL is a 2 class track.
24 June race is also excused because he ran on a Muddy track (MY). That falls under Off Track (#2). This was a Clm 22000 race at Monmouth (MTH) and he was 6 1/2 lengths behind. The class rating for a Clm 22000 race fits under 22,500 -18,000 =11 in the Master Class Rating Chart and MTH is a 2 class track under the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. So the race class is 11 +2 = 13. The horse is 6 1/2 lengths behind. Look at your Class Conversion Chart found under "How to Determine the Class of Each Horse". Using the chart 6 1/2 lengths fit under "5 1/4 to 9 Lengths" and you penalize the horse 2 conversion numbers. The class rating for the 24 June race would be 11 + 2 + 2=15.
7 June at Parx (PRX) is a Clm 25000 race. The race is not excused even though the race is a better class than today's race. A Clm 25000 race at PRX would be a 10 + 3 = 13 class. Clm 25000 fits under 28,500 - 23,000 in the Master Class Rating Chart which is a 10 and PRX is a 3 class track in the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. Roman Bay ran 5th by 6 1/2 lengths. Look at your Class Conversion Chart found under "How to Determine the Class of Each Horse". Using the chart 6 1/2 lengths fit under "5 1/4 to 9 Lengths" and you penalize the horse 2 conversion numbers. The class rating for the 14 June race would be 10 + 3 + 2=15.
Even though the 7 June race is a better class than today's race (Today's race is a 16) and you normally would excuse the race for Dropping Class (#4) , Roman Bay ran a Good race at PRX on 12 April for a Clm 25,000 race. He finished 3rd by 2 1/2 lengths which is a Good race. This is the same class race as the 7 June race. So we do not excuse the 7 June race. We stop on this race.
We look at all 4 races to find Roman Bay's Class Rating.
8 Aug = 20
6 July = 18
24 June = 15
7 June = 15
Roman Bay's Class Rating is 15. The lowest number of all 4 races. Today's class rating is 16. Final One Step Rating for Roman Bay is 16 - 15 or plus 1 (+1) 1 levels better than par.
5. Perfect Drive - Last race was on 27 July at Delaware (DEL). It was a Clm 20000 race and he finished 4th by 4 1/4 lengths. Even though a Clm 20000 race is a better class than today's Clm 10000 race Perfect Drive is not excused for Dropping Class (#4) because 13 Feb at Oaklawn Park (OP) he ran a NW1 Allowance Race and won the race which of course is a Good Race. A NW1 Allowance race at Oaklawn Park OP would be a 9 (7 + 2). A NW1 Allowance race class rating is 7 in the Master Class Rating Chart and OP is a 2 class track under the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. So the 13 Feb race class is 9 which is a better class rating than the 27 July race. He is not excused therefore for the last race and we look at no further races
Perfect Drive's 27 July class rating would be 11 + 2 + 1= 14. A Clm 20000 race fits under 22,500 -18,000 = 11 in the Master Class Rating Chart and DEL is a 2 class track under the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. So the race class is 11 + 2 = 13. The horse is 4 1/4 lengths behind. Look at your Class Conversion Chart found under "How to Determine the Class of Each Horse". Using the chart 4 1/4 lengths fits under " 1/4 to 5 Lengths" and you penalize the horse 1 conversion number. The class rating for the 27 July race would be 11 + 2 + 1=14.
We stop on the last race.
Perfect Drive's Class Rating is 14. Today's class rating is 16. Final One Step Rating for Perfect Drive is 16 - 14 or plus 2 (+2) 2 levels better than par.
6. Dryden - Last race ran on 27 Aug at Delaware (DEL) in a Clm 10000 race and finished 2nd 1 1/4 lengths behind. The race is excused for Off Rest (#5). 2nd race back is 29 July. That is 29 days between the last 2 races. The last race class rating is 14 + 2 + 1. A Clm 10000 race fits under 11,500 - 9,000 = 14 in the Master Class Rating Chart and DEL is a 2 class track under the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. So the race class is 14 + 2 = 16. The horse is 1 1/4 lengths behind. Look at your Class Conversion Chart found under "How to Determine the Class of Each Horse". Using the chart 1 1/4 lengths fits under "1/4 to 5 Lengths" and you penalize the horse 1 conversion number. The class rating for the 27 Aug race would be 14 + 2 + 1=17.
29 July race is at Prairie Meadows (PRM) and is a OC 15k race. This is an Optional Claiming race. We grade an Optional Claiming race the same as a Claiming race. So the price that is in the conditions is how we will rate the race. This race is rated as a Clm 15000 race and Dryden finished 5th by 3 lengths. The class rating would be 12 + 6 + 1=19. A Clm 15000 race fits under 17,500 -15,000 = 12 in the Master Class Rating Chart and PRM is a 6 class track under the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. So the race class is 12 + 6 = 18. The horse is 3 lengths behind. Look at your Class Conversion Chart found under "How to Determine the Class of Each Horse". Using the chart 3 lengths fits under "1/4 to 5 Lengths" and you penalize the horse 1 conversion number. The class rating for the 27 July race would be 12 + 6 + 1=19. There is no excuse in this race so we will stop.
Here are the races that we looked at
27 Aug is 17
29 July is 19
Perfect Drive's Class Rating is 17 which is the lowest number of both races. Today's class rating is 16. Final One Step Rating for Perfect Drive is 16 - 17 or minus 1 (-1) 1 level worse than par.
7. Boot the Boss - Last race was run 6 Aug at Delaware (DEL) for a Clm 20000 race and the horse finished 6th by 2 3/4 lengths. Normally this race would be excused for Dropping Class (#4) because Clm 20000 class rate at DEL is a higher class than the class rating of the race today - a Clm 10000 race at DEL. But on the 12 July race the horse won a Clm 25000 race at DEL. This is a better class than a Clm 20000 race at DEL. So he is not excused. We only look at the last race out. The class rating of the 6 Aug race would be 11 + 2 + 1=14. A Clm 20000 race fits under 22,500 -18,000 = 11 in the Master Class Rating Chart and DEL is a 2 class track under the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. The horse is 2 3/4 lengths behind. Look at your Class Conversion Chart found under "How to Determine the Class of Each Horse". Using the chart 2 3/4 lengths fits under "1/4 to 5 Lengths" and you penalize the horse 1 conversion number. The class rating for the 6 Aug race would be 11 + 2 + 1=14.
Boot the Boss's Class Rating is 14. Today's class rating is 16. Final One Step Rating for Perfect Drive is 16 - 14 or plus 2 (+2) 2 levels better than par.
8. Classic Wildcat - Last race was run 6 Aug at Delaware (DEL) for a Clm 20000 race and the horse finished 2nd by a nose. The race would normally be excused for Dropping Class (#4) but the 27 July race was also a Clm 20000 race at DEL and he race a Good Race 3rd by 3 3/4 lengths. Therefore we stop on the last race. The class rating of the 6 Aug race would be 11 + 2 =13. A Clm 20000 race fits under 22,500 -18,000 = 11 in the Master Class Rating Chart and DEL is a 2 class track under the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. The horse is just a nose behind. Looking at your Class Conversion Chart we do not penalize if the horse finished less than 1/4 length behind. It is just like winning the race. The class rating for the 6 Aug race would be 11 + 2 =13.
Classic Wildcat's Class Rating is 13. Today's class rating is 16. Final One Step Rating for Classic Wildcat is 16 - 13 or plus 3 (+3) 3 levels better than par.
The race is now finished. We select the BEST One Step rating and this horse becomes our win play. Remember a + is better than a minus. +2 is better than a +1, a 0 (zero) is better than an -1.
Summary of Race - Horses remaining in the race are
Dryfly with a +1 One Step Rating
Well Respected Man with a +2
Roman's Bay with a +1
Perfect Drive with a -1
Boot the Boss with a +2
Classic Wildcat with a +3.
The win play is Classic Wildcat who won and paid a $8.00 to win.
To speed up your races, you can eliminate your horses first using the Eliminating factors. In this race we could eliminate 2 horses immediately before we look at their class. They would be #5 Perfect Drive. He is eliminated because the last race out is more than 45 days from today's race.
Boot the Boss would also be eliminated because he finished last in his last race. He ran 6 out of 6 horses.