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Laurel, Sept. 17, 2011

Race 10 -  5 1/2 furlongs - Claiming 7,500 for Fillies 3 Year Olds and Upward

To handicap each race the first thing we need to do is find the Class Rating for the race we are handicapping. This race is a Claiming 7,500 race at Laurel Park.

Look to your Master Class Rating Chart and find where Claiming 7,500 would fit. You will see 7,900 - 7,000 = 16. The track we are handicapping is Laurel or LRL. Next you go to your Class Rating Adjustment Chart and look for the track LRL. Beside LRL you will see 2.

So the Class Rating for this 10th race is 16 +2=18.

Now we will handicap each horse in the race just like we did the previous races. Remember we are looking to find the horse's correct Class Rating by using the Excuses listed under "How to Find the Class of a Horse". If we find just one Excuse then we will go back to the next race back and check that race for an excuse. We will continue going back until we do not find any excuses in the races. We stop and rate each race for class that we looked at.

This race we will handicap the same as above but we will apply the 4 Eliminating Factors to the horses first. This will speed up the handicapping of the race. If a horse has any one of the Eliminating Factors the horse is automatically eliminated.

3. Shanana - Last race was on 5 Sep at Timonium (TIM) for a Clm 5000 race and finished 5th by 4 3/4 lengths behind the winner. The race is excused for Off Rest (#5). 2nd race back is 31 July. That is 36 days between the last 2 races. The last race class rating is 18 + 4 + 1=23. A Clm 5000 race fits under 5,500 - 4,500 = 18 in the Master Class Rating Chart and TIM is a 4 class track under the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. So the race class is 18 + 4 = 22. The horse is 4 3/4 lengths behind.  Look at your Class Conversion Chart found under "How to Determine the Class of Each Horse". Using the chart 4 3/4 lengths fits under "1/4 to 5 Lengths" and you penalize the horse 1 conversion number. The class rating for the 5 Sep race would be 18 + 4 + 1=23.

31 July race at Colonial Downs (CNL) is Clm 7500 and he won the race. So this race is excused for Win (#1). This class rating is 16 + 4=20. A Clm 7500 race fits under 7,900-7,000 = 16 in the Master Class Rating Chart and CNL is a 4 class track under the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. So the race class is 16 + 4 = 20. He won the race so the final Class rating is 20.

23 July race at Colonial Downs (CNL) is Mdn Clm 5000 and he won the race. So this race is excused for Win (#1). This class rating is 18 + 3 + 4=25. A Clm 5000 race fits under 5,500-4,500 = 18 in the Master Class Rating Chart.This is a Maiden Claiming race and as explained in the Class Conversion Chart we add 3 points to all Maiden Claiming races and CNL is a 4 class track under the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. So the race class is 18 + 3 + 4=25. He won the race so the final Class rating is 25.

7 May race at Pimlico (PIM) is a Md Clm 20000 and finished 3rd by 4 1/2 lengths. This race is excused for Dropping Class (#4). Today's race is a Clm 7500 race and the class rating is 18.  This 7 May class rating is 11 + 3 + 2 + 1=17. A Clm 20000 race fits under 22,500-18,000 = 11 in the Master Class Rating Chart. This is a Maiden Claiming race and as explained in the Class Conversion Chart we add 3 points to all Maiden Claiming races and PIM is a 2 class track under the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. So the race class is 11 + 3 + 2 = 16. The horse is 4 1/2 lengths behind.  Look at your Class Conversion Chart. Using the chart 4 1/2 lengths fits under " 1/4 to 5 Lengths" and you penalize the horse 1 conversion number. The class rating for the 7 May race would be 11 + 3 + 2 + 1=17.

28 Apr race at Charlestown (CT) is a Md Clm 7500 race and finished 8th by 14 1/2 lengths . This race is not excused because today's race is a Clm 7500 at Laurel. We stop here.  This race is not rated because he finished 14 lengths or more.

Here are the races that we looked at

5 Sep is 23

31 July is 20

23 July is 25

7 May is 17

Shanana's Class Rating is 17 which is the lowest number of his races. Today's class rating is 18. Final One Step Rating for Shanana is 18 - 17 or plus 1 (+1) 1 level better than par.

8 Homefire - Last race was on 26 June at Colonial Downs (CNL) for a Clm 7500 race. Homefire is eliminated because he raced 83 days ago.  Today's race is Sept 17. Elimination Rule #3 states he must have raced within 45 days.

9 Fancy Footsteps - Last race was on 31 July at Colonial Downs (CNL) for a Clm 5000 race. Fancy Footsteps is eliminated because he raced 48 days ago.  Today's race is Sept 17. Elimination Rule #3 states he must have raced within 45 days.

1a Starring Sky - Last race was on 21 July at Charlestown (CT) for a Optional Claiming 12500 race. Starring Sky is eliminated because he raced 58 days ago.  Today's race is Sept 17. Elimination Rule #3 states he must have raced within 45 days.

4 Rosie's Run - Last race was on 25 June at Parx (PRX) for a Clm 25000 race. Rosie's Run is eliminated because he raced 84 days ago.  Today's race is Sept 17. Elimination Rule #3 states he must have raced within 45 days.

6 Alwaysacontest - Last race was on 5 Sep at Timonium (TIM) for a Optional Claiming 20000 race and he finished 5th by 8 1/4 lengths. He finished last in the race. He finished 5th out of 5 horses and is eliminated using Elimination Rule #1.

7 Rosiana - Last race was on 23 Aug at Mountaineer (MNR) for a Clm 7500 race and he finished 5th by 4 1/4 lengths. This race is excused for Off Rest (#5).  The 2nd race back is 9 July. That is 45 days between the last 2 races. The last race class rating is 16 + 7 + 1=24. A Clm 7500 race fits under 7,900 - 7,000 = 16 in the Master Class Rating Chart and MNR is a 7 class track under the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. So the race class is 16 + 7 = 23. The horse is 4 1/4 lengths behind.  Look at your Class Conversion Chart. Using the chart 4 1/4 lengths fits under "1/4 to 5 Lengths" and you penalize the horse 1 conversion number. The class rating for the 23 Aug race would be 16 + 7 + 1=24.

9 July race at Sun Ray Park is a Clm 5000 race and finished 7th by 14 lengths and it is a 7 Furlong race. This race is excused for Distance (#3). Today's race is 5 1/2 furlongs. So 7 furlongs is more than 1 furlong longer than today's distance. And he has not run within 3 lengths of a similar distance. A Clm 5000 race fits under 5,500 - 4,500 = 18 in the Master Class Rating Chart and SRP is a 7 class track under the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. So the race class is 18 + 7 = 25. The horse is 14 lengths behind.  Look at your Class Conversion Chart found under "How to Determine the Class of Each Horse". Using the chart 14 lengths fits under " 9 1/4 to 14 Lengths" and you penalize the horse 3 conversion number. The class rating for the 9 July race would be 18 + 7 + 3=28.

27 June race at Sun Ray Park (SRP) is a Clm 5000 race and he won the race so the race is excused for Win (#1). A Clm 5000 race fits under 5,500 - 4,500 = 18 in the Master Class Rating Chart and SRP is a 7 class track under the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. So the race class is 18 + 7 = 25. He won the race so his class rating is 25.

13 June race at Sun Ray Park (SRP) for a Alw 6250s and finished 9 by 17 1/2 lengths. This is a Starter Allowance race for 6250 Claimers. We rate a Starter Allowance race not like an Allowance race but as a Claiming race. The Claiming price would be the one listed. So this race is a Clm 6250. This race is excused for Off Rest (#5). The next race back is 2 May. That is 42 days between these 2 races. But we do not rate the 13 June race for class because he was more than 14 lengths behind.

2 May race at Turf Paradise (TUP) is a Clm 6250 race and he won the race so the race is excused for Win (#1). A Clm 6250 race fits under 6,900 - 5,600 in the Master Class Rating Chart and is a 17 and TUP is a 6 class track under the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. So the race class is 17 + 6 = 23. He won the race so his class rating is 23.

9 Apr race at Turf Paradise (TUP) is a Clm 6250 race and finished 4th by 4 lengths. The race was run on a Good Track so the race is excused for an Off track (#2). The Class Rating is 17 + 6 + 1 = 24. A Clm 6250 race fits under 6,900 - 5,600 = 17 in the Master Class Rating Chart and TUP is a 6 class track under the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. So the race class is 17 + 6 = 23. The horse is 4 lengths behind.  Look at your Class Conversion Chart found under "How to Determine the Class of Each Horse". Using the chart 4  lengths fits under "1/4 to 5 Lengths" and you penalize the horse 1 conversion number. The class rating for the 9 Apr race would be 17 + 6 + 1 = 24.

18 Mar race at Turf Paradise (TUP) is a Clm 16000 race and finished 3rd by 7 1/4 lengths. The race is not excused  for Dropping Class (#4) because the 6 Mar race he ran a good race for NW1 Allowance race at TUP which is better class than the Clm 16000 race we are trying to excuse. The Class Rating for the 18 Mar race is 12 + 6 + 2 = 20. A Clm 16000 race fits under 17,500 - 15,000 = 12 in the Master Class Rating Chart and TUP is a 6 class track under the Class Rating Adjustment Chart. So the race class is 12 + 6 = 18. The horse is 7 1/4 lengths behind. Look at your Class Conversion Chart found under "How to Determine the Class of Each Horse". Using the chart 7 1/4 lengths fits under "5 1/4 to 9 Lengths" and you penalize the horse 2 conversion numbers. The class rating for the 18 Mar race would be 12 + 6 + 2 = 20. We stop on this race.

Here are the races that we looked at

23 Aug is 24

9 July is 28

27 June is 25

2 May is 23

9 April is 24

18 Mar is 20

Rosiana's Class Rating is 20 which is the lowest number of his races. Today's class rating is 18. Final One Step Rating for Rosiana is 18 - 20 or minus 2 (-2) 2 levels worse than par.

10 Rose to Riches - Last race was on 2 Sep at Presque Isle Downs (PID) for a Clm 7500 and finished 9th by 14 1/2 lengths. The horse finished 9th out of 9 horses. This horse is eliminated because he finished last- Eliminator Rule  #1.

11 Grand Lee - Last race was on 23 July at Colonial Downs (CNL) for a Clm 10000 and horse won the race. Since this  horse has not had a race in 56 days the horse is eliminated for Eliminator Rule #3. Today's race is Sep 17.

12 Hard Rockin - Last race was on 7 Sep at Delaware (DEL) for a Alw 7500s (Starter Allowance for 7500) and finished 5th 19 lengths 1/4 behind. The horse also finished on 28 July 14 3/4 lengths behind. The horse is eliminated because horse did not qualify for Eliminator Rule #4 - finished 30 lengths or more in both of last 2 races.

Horses remaining in the race are Shanana with a +1 and Rosiana with a -2. The win play is Shanana. She won and paid a WHOPPING $54.00.

Summary of Race - Horses remaining in the race are

Shanana with a +1 One Step Rating

Rosiana with a -2

The win play is Shanana who won and paid a WHOPPING $54.00 to win.